Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.003544 0.003872 0.004223 0.004626 0.005079 0.005573 0.006154
2025-11-16 0.002961 0.003415 0.003935 0.004578 0.005357 0.006279 0.007463
2025-11-23 0.002592 0.003097 0.003701 0.004484 0.005486 0.006741 0.008458
2025-11-30 0.002388 0.002935 0.003614 0.004531 0.005758 0.007372 0.009708
2025-12-07 0.002265 0.002854 0.003609 0.004666 0.006140 0.008170 0.011268
2025-12-14 0.002092 0.002689 0.003474 0.004605 0.006236 0.008570 0.012296
2025-12-21 0.001934 0.002529 0.003328 0.004509 0.006263 0.008861 0.013183
2025-12-28 0.001814 0.002409 0.003226 0.004463 0.006351 0.009242 0.014247
2026-01-04 0.001733 0.002336 0.003182 0.004492 0.006552 0.009810 0.015688
2026-01-11 0.001635 0.002233 0.003085 0.004433 0.006604 0.010139 0.016755
2026-01-18 0.001552 0.002147 0.003007 0.004395 0.006682 0.010514 0.017949
2026-01-25 0.001469 0.002054 0.002913 0.004323 0.006695 0.010775 0.018959
2026-02-01 0.001408 0.001993 0.002867 0.004330 0.006856 0.011334 0.020686
2026-02-08 0.001338 0.001915 0.002791 0.004285 0.006924 0.011739 0.022187
2026-02-15 0.001265 0.001829 0.002696 0.004199 0.006909 0.011983 0.023382
2026-02-22 0.001226 0.001793 0.002678 0.004242 0.007131 0.012708 0.025775
2026-03-01 0.001206 0.001786 0.002706 0.004367 0.007517 0.013809 0.029267
2026-03-08 0.001153 0.001722 0.002636 0.004310 0.007548 0.014178 0.031051
2026-03-15 0.001097 0.001652 0.002552 0.004222 0.007507 0.014387 0.032467
2026-03-22 0.001054 0.001599 0.002495 0.004179 0.007553 0.014792 0.034489
2026-03-29 0.001026 0.001570 0.002476 0.004207 0.007745 0.015549 0.037659
2026-04-05 0.000986 0.001520 0.002417 0.004152 0.007760 0.015896 0.039729
2026-04-12 0.000951 0.001477 0.002369 0.004117 0.007812 0.016338 0.042189